Posts filed under 'Daley'

Handicapping a post-Daley 2011 Chicago Mayoral Race

As I mentioned on Twitter last week (and on this blog last year), I suffer from mayoral race envy, for I live in a town that hasn’t seen a competitive contest since Richard Daley was elected 19 years ago. This jealousy was only heightened by listening to the Guardian’s special Politics Weekly podcast on Boris Johnson’s electoral triumph. Rather than leave Chicago, I’ve begun to imagine what a real 2011 mayoral election might look like.

Obviously, should Mayor Daley decide to (or, pending ongoing corruption investigations, not be able to) run for re-election, he will be the favorite to be re-elected. Whether or not that would be the best thing for the city, it is not a particularly exciting prospect for a political junkie daydreaming about 2011. So let’s ignore him.

After Daley, any list of 2011 candidates begins with two Congressmen who came close to challenging Daley last year, Jesse Jackson Jr. and Luis Gutierrez. As Walter Jacobson pointed out on Chicago Public Radio,, and as was pointed out here, one of them could end up being our next Senator– of the two, I’d bet on Gutierrez. City Clerk Miguel Del Valle has been turning up at several benefit dinners in the Loop this spring, and I trust that it’s not due to a love for rubber chicken and weak coffee. I’d place Cook County Commissioner Forrest Claypool into a non-Daley second tier with Del Valle. Two wild cards who may be better off waiting for 2015, are SEIU favorite Ald. Sandi Jackson (Jesse’s spouse) and States Attorney nominee Anita Alvarez. For a wild, wild card, let’s toss U.S. Attorney Patrick Fitzgerald’s name into the ring.

February 2011 seems like a long ways away, but it will be here before you know it.


4 comments May 4, 2008

A Contested City Election: What a Concept

I was in Philadelphia a couple of weeks ago where they are in the midst of a real mayoral election with all the trappings: several  viable candidates (a couple of them sitting Congressmen), debates, issues, press attention, blogs, engaged community organizations, even student engagement. I returned to Chicago with a picture of what a contested city-wide election. Not even my local 48th ward aldermanic race was worth paying attention to as the incumbent, Mary Ann Smith, managed to knock all her challengers off the ballot (including Iraq War veteran Chris Lawrence apparently for his failure to file a receipt with his economic disclosure form.)

Nevertheless, or perhaps out of frustration at the lack of meaningful politics at my own polling place, I followed with interest coverage of Tuesday’s elections in Chicago. (Unsurprisingly, perhaps, I found the Sun Times more useful than Trib.)

I found lots of discussion of the prospect that Daley will break his father’s record as the longest serving mayor of the city but nary a mention of the man will may have a large say about Daley’s ability to finish his term: U.S. Attorney Patrick Fitzgerald who continues to investigate City Hall after already convicting some of his closest aides. For example, here’s Fran Spielman’s synopsis of Hizzoner (Junior?)’s triumph:

Tuesday’s landslide was vindication. Daley’s toughness and ability to adjust to new political realities has long been underestimated. He has proven once again how resilient he is.

Spielman‘s look at Daley’s next (final?) term focused more on political maneuverings than on possible policies. She reveals that CTA head Frank Kruesi may finally be on his way out to placate Springfield, but suggests no other possible policy implications:

the mayor knows better than anybody that the time has come to remove his longest-serving adviser. Kruesi has made so many enemies in Springfield — including powerful House Speaker Michael Madigan — state lawmakers won’t even think about helping the CTA until he’s gone. Look for Kruesi to make the long-rumored move to the O’Hare Modernization Program and Aviation Commissioner Nuria Fernandez to replace Kruesi at CTA, where she got her start.

Spielman also gives us this tease about the future of Chicago Public Schools CEO Arne Duncan:

City Hall sources said Duncan fell out of favor for a while last year, but he may have worked his way out of the doghouse.

In reviewing possible candidates to replace Phil Cline as Police Superintendent, she mentions that “former Deputy Police Supt. Charles Ramsey, a runner-up in past police searches, is available again after a stint as police chief in Washington, D.C.” Spielman doesn’t mention it, but perhaps Ramsey’s approach to dealing with political protesters will give him a leg up. From Ramsey’s Wikipedia entry:

…[O]n September 27, 2002, the MPD made a mass arrest of a large group of demonstrators who had assembled in DC’s Pershing Park to protest the World Bank and IMF meetings. The police enclosed over 400 people in the park and arrested them without ever ordering them to disperse or allowing them to leave the park. Many of the arrested were not actually demonstrators, but were journalists, legal observers, and pedestrians. On January 13, 2006, the D.C. Court of Appeals ruled that the arrests violated the Fourth Amendment and that Chief Ramsey could be held personally liable for the violations.

The aldermanic results send a nuanced message, one that does not fit easily into the “SEIU v. Daley & the Chamber of Commercememe. As Steve Rhodes noted this morning, “the incumbents who lost their seats were more the victims of their own special circumstances than hacks punished for doing the Daley Machine’s bidding.”

For one, the SEIU was not successful in its efforts in Latino wards, where both Danny Solis held his seat. From the Sun Times:

Mass mailings against Solis, who was appointed to the post by Daley in 1996 and serves as his president pro tem in the City Council, were launched by unions that supported Cuahutemoc “Temo” Morfin, a youth probation officer, who got 21 percent…”I’ve taken on some unions … I feel vindicated,” said Solis. “The neighborhood is with me.”

Blogs, and the media in general, for that matter, were irrelevant in this campaign. Reporters made a valiant attempt in the final days to pretend like Daley had a race (the Trib’s free Redeye carried all three candidates on its front page on Tuesday) but came across sounding silly. Eric Zorn penned an Election Day mea culpa that included a pledge to vote against Da Mayor as

“a call for change this time, not just another a warning shot across Daley’s bow. I’m tired of the “Oh, but the city looks so good” mantra of complacency that consigns us to praying for benevolence under autocratic rule.

The lackluster race is enough to make us ponder 2011, an election which will contested whether or not Daley runs. Mark Brown Ponders the possible role of Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. (and husband to an alderman-elect):

you have to wonder how far the Jackson family can take its dynasty. It seems unlikely it will want to stop with a congressman and an alderman and a man who ran for president.

Jackson’s House colleague Luis Gutierrez is likely to consider a race, as will City Clerk, and (independent) Miguel Del Valle. ESTHER J. CEPEDA AND ART GOLAB note that “Daley’s hand-picked city clerk, Miguel del Valle” didn’t meet with city-wide success, winning 58% of the vote compared to the Mayor’s 71%. Most notably for 2011, “Diane Jones, a 45-year-old water reclamation district employee who spent less than $7,000 on her campaign, won a third of the votes and beat del Valle in every African-American ward by margins of 200 to 2,000 votes.”

All of which points to a likely Latino v. African American contest. Would that kind of race, with overt Chicago-style ethnic and racial turf fights be better for the city than another placid coronation? Outgoing Chicago Board of Election Commissioners spokesmanTom Leach seems to think so in Carol Marin’s column. He fondly recalls the tense, and groundbreaking 1983 Harold Washington-Bernie Epton race: “Despite the fact there was a lot of racial tension, it was a great election. We had an 82 percent turnout. The highest turnout we ever had for a municipal election. We brought people into the electoral process who had never voted before . . . complaints about fraud diminished.”

The last time we had a contest to succeed a mayor in Chicago, following Harold Washington’s death, we witnessed City Council arm wrestling, yelling and desk dancing over several hours. This time, the process is likely to play out over four years largely behind closed doors.  


Add comment March 2, 2007

Tribune builds a Daley data base, but won’t let us see it

The Tribune’s Todd Lighty, Laurie Cohen and John McCormickexamined Mayor Daley’s campaign funders going back to his 1979 race for State’s Attorney. Daley’s largest institutional donors, from ‘79 through last week, are the unlikely tandem of the Mercantile Exchange and the Hotel Employees and Restaurant Employees Intl. Union. Real estate mogul (and Tribune bidder?) ranks fourth among individuals, having given more than $200,000. Zell:

said the mayor’s contributions to Chicago might have exceeded those of his father, legendary Chicago Mayor Richard J. Daley. Zell cited the city’s political turbulence two decades ago, when Chicago was known as “Beirut on the Lake.”

“Do I have to remind you what the 1980s were like?” Zell said.

The story concludes with this note that speaks to the extensive legwork the reporters conducted:

Prior to the Tribune’s efforts, records of donations made before 1999 to Mayor Richard Daley’s campaigns existed only on paper and could not be analyzed electronically. The Tribune hired a firm to keypunch information from about 7,500 pages of Daley’s campaign finance reports. That data was combined with Daley’s electronic records on file with the Illinois State Board of Elections to form a single database of the money Daley raised and spent from November 1979 through December 2006.

So, the reporters pieced together an amazing set of data for the story.  Would’ve been great if the data could be presented in more dynamic version that the tables they give us. Further, why not open up that data base and let the rest of us play with it?


Add comment February 19, 2007

Anticipating the Daley v. Jackson Battle of the Machines

Tonight I caught the mayoral debate on the ‘The Wire.‘ (Now reportedly headed for its fifth season; in-depth discussion of the new season here, here, and here.) The fictionalized stand-off between the battle-tested incumbent and the incumbent with nothing to lose has me anticipating the Daley-Jackson debates. What, about 4 months or so to go?

The fascinating aspect of the Daley political machine is that it is an anti-machine. Rather than relying solely on the traditional machine apparatus of Democratic committeeman and ward leaders, Daley, and his 10th Ward boys, have successfully constructed new apparatus (example 1A: the Hispanic Democratic Organization) to generate votes and get things done. Meanwhile, Jesse Jackson Jr. seems to be counting on a 21st century machine of his own: the Service Employees International Union.

John Kass, who has really come into his own lately, addressed Daley’s political acumen in his Thursday column. He addressed Daley’s adroit veto of Joe Moore’s, and the SEIU’s, Big Box ordinance:

Who else but Daley, facing his toughest re-election fight from a credible black challenger, could play both the race card and the free-market card and get away with it?

He was Mayor Soul Man and Mayor Big Business on the same day… Yes, I’m a critic. For a while there it was lonely and cold, though lately the waters have warmed, with all the federal fish swimming in his pond.

So he has more critics these days. Yet my criticisms of the mayor have to do with inside deals and greedy cronies and corruption–not his mastery of politics…“He played us like a fish,” said another pro-labor white alderman who refused to flip on the veto vote. “First it was foie gras. Then this. He had it all planned. We look ridiculous.”

The aldermen cared about geese and banned foie gras. But their attempts to jack up the minimum wage threatened jobs in minority communities. Ald. Foie Gras himself, Joe Moore (49th), was the same fellow who pushed the big-box ordinance that was vetoed.

Aldermen allowed themselves to be cast as worried more about the feelings of silly geese than about the feelings of poor blacks and Latinos who need jobs and a decent place to shop. Daley hungrily capitalized on their mistake.

Kass’ analysis stands in contrast to the Mick Dumke’s Reader column last month on the passage of Moore’s Big Box ordinance. Kumke prematurely counted Daley out:

…with the spotlight on patronage, it’s no longer clear that the mayor will have an army to mobilize in February’s municipal elections. He also might not be able to make the same demands of council members or offer them the same protection. Aldermen seemed to be testing that theory when they banned foie gras and smoking in public buildings, ignoring Daley’s stated positions and yielding to heavy lobbying by advocates.

So, who was playing whom?


1 comment September 15, 2006

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