A consequence of the most interesting election cycle of my lifetime, the build-up for Tuesday’s vote in Illinois’ Fifth District has been a disappointment. As I’ve lamented previously, this rare occurrence of an open election with several appealing candidates, at a time of crisis, has been largely devoid of substantive debate. In part, this reflects … Continue reading »
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Breaking Down the 5th
Political consultant Mike Fourcher (the man behind Chicago Cloutwiki) shares the slides he presented this week to the Northside of Democracy for America chapter; key takeaways from his preview of the Febrary 3 primary election The majority of votes in the District can be found in the city. Shrinking middle class: between the 2000 Census and … Continue reading »
628,245.32 Reasons Gene Schulter is a Favorite to Replace Rahm
[A couple of readers, including James below, have pointed out that Schulter is limited in how he can use his funds; the money Feigenholtz raised last quarter has no such restrictions.] In an ongoing attempt to track the race to replace Rahm Emanuel in Illinois’ Fifth Congressional District, a look into who might have the … Continue reading »
Obama’s Potential for Changing the Electoral Map
The punditocracy has been all over the Obamentum in South Carolina, but I have not seen any explorations of what it might mean for the general election. As the Faithful Progressive points out, Obama garnered more votes yesterday than the first and second place finishers combined in last week’s GOP primary. While November is a … Continue reading »
Obama is Missing His “Groundswell”
Kevin Drum: I lean toward the Hillary approach because I think the Obama approach only works when there’s already a real groundswell of support for significant change (as in the 30s, 60s, and 80s, for example) — and as much as I hate to say it, I just don’t see that at the moment. I … Continue reading »
Nagourney’s Black/Brown Tension Piece Based on Anecdote
In Tuesday’s New York Times, Adam Nagourney picks up on the Blacks and Latinos don’t get along and that’s bad for Obama meme that I’ve seen elsewhere, and blogged about. Nagourney provides lots of anecdote, but only two pieces of data– both of which run counter to his argument that Latinos won’t vote for African-Americans: … Continue reading »
“The rules were OK when the other campaigns thought they would win the Culinary endorsement”
Al Giordano has a nice breakdown on Sunday’s multi-faceted news day. He picks up on a theme I heard from Norm Scheiber on Friday: The mini [racial]-uproar may help Obama win South Carolina…But I think racial tension beyond South Carolina probably hurts Obama–both in narrow tactical ways (he’s going to need a chunk of white independents on … Continue reading »
NY in Play? Really?
Ed Morrissey is skeptical about the notion, put forth in today’s Times by Sam Roberts, that New York is in play for Obama. This is more GOTV posturing and a little bit of media-baiting. Hillary leads Obama now by 27 points in the latest polling by Survey USA, via RealClearPolitics….This is a typical effort to … Continue reading »
How Will Obama Effect the Cook County State’s Atty. Race
The latest issue of the Chicago Reporter (not yet online) posits that Obama enthusiasm could boost Ald. Howard Brookins’ chances of becoming the first African American to lead the State’s Attorney office here. They point to note that the March 2004 primary, in which Obama was nominated, had a turnout that was “5.6 points” more … Continue reading »
ObamaMedia: Are Endorsements More Valued in Communities of Color?
The John Kerry (nary a mention of the endorsement on Kerry’s own site) and Ned Lamont stories are official. Steve Kornacki on the importance of Kerry: Obama needs to convey the impression that his campaign is still on the offensive and that the loss hasn’t stalled his momentum at all. The willingness of a big … Continue reading »
