In a comment on Rick Klau’s blog, Allison, apparently a New Hampshire voter, offers her analysis as to what happened Tuesday:
1) I think Obama overplayed his hand. Sorry Rick, but we’re not big on vague here, and he wasn’t selling anything specific. Yes, people want change, and they want hope, but they want details and he was woefully short on ‘em.
the knock on Barack in IL was that he was a detail guy to a fault. He loved rolling his sleeves up and immersing himself in the minutiae of legislation. And he was really good at it.
Allison didn’t, however, leave me answer the question on so many lips this week: what was wrong with the New Hampshire pre- (and post-) vote polls? For my money, the Pew Research Center’s Andrew Kohut may be onto the most likely explanation:
Poorer, less well-educated white people refuse surveys more often than affluent, better-educated whites. Polls generally adjust their samples for this tendency. But here’s the problem: these whites who do not respond to surveys tend to have more unfavorable views of blacks than respondents who do the interviews.
Did Obama get his “We are not a nation of red states or of blue states; we are the United States of America,” line from Robin Williams’ Man of the Year?
The Annenberg Public Policy Center’s FactCheck looks at two widely-spread and scurrilous anti-Obama chain emails.
Dueling chain e-mails claim he’s a radical Muslim or a ‘racist’ Christian. Both can’t be right. We find both are false.If these two nasty e-mail messages are any indication, the 2008 presidential campaign is becoming a very dirty one….These false appeals to bigotry and fear remind us of the infamous whispering campaign of eight years ago, when anonymous messages just before the South Carolina primary falsely accused Republican candidate John McCain of fathering an illegitimate child by a black woman…Such attacks usually can be disproved with less effort than it takes to forward them to others. The statement that Snopes endorsed the false claim that Obama is a Muslim radical is an example. So we find it disappointing that they continue to circulate. But we expect to see more of them as the election year wears on,
Like many of us, Chicago rappers Lupe Fiasco and Rhymfest have been engaged in a friendly Clinton-Obama debate. Lupe on his lack of Obamania:
[A]t the end of the day [all of the candidates], the first thing that comes out of their mouths is that they wanna continue this so-called war on terrorism, which is illegal and false.”
Obama’s slogan, “stand for change”, is not a vacuous message of uplift, but a content-laden token of dissent from the old-style liberal orthodoxy on which Clinton and Edwards have been campaigning.
The Tribune’s John Kass riffs on Bubba’s “fairytale” criticism:
as we wait for Obama to transform our politics, let’s hold our breath and see who turns purple first…This fairy tale doesn’t begin in Kenya or Hawaii or Kansas or at Harvard. Obama’s political fairy tale really begins in Chicago. That’s where Obama’s own real estate fairy loved to play in Illinois Democratic — and Republican — politics.
Chicago is not really an enchanted land, unless you’ve got clout at City Hall…. And no Democrat — not even our national change-agent Barack Obama — would dare demand answers.